seaven15
and*** @**** 关注 科技ETF单月净流出接近90亿美元,美股的资金轮动已经摆到台面上了。 BYBIT #星期三空投 #testPIC2 之前我提过一组很典型的变化:美国科技》 金一周内曾猛吸金超过 200 亿美元,但很快风向就反了,转 @7-16 成约150亿美元净流出。高盛 Prime look 的跟踪数据也印证了这一点——对冲基金对言息科技板块的卖出,一度冲到2016 年以来最极希的水平。$XRPUSDT 把时间拉到最近一个月,科技板块ETF 的净流出接近 90 亿美元,明显甩开其他行业。相对的,金融板块拿到约 20亿美元净流入:医疗、公用事业、工业、必需消费这些板块也都有小幅资金回补。 这基本说明,过去几年最拥挤、估值最高、涨幅最大的“科技+AI”主线、正在被更系统性地降仓。撤出来的资金,正往金融、医疗、公用事业、工业等板块挪——这些方向共同特点是估值更便宜、现金流更稳、前期涨幅也没那么夸张。 但也要注意一个细节:金融虽然是净流入最多的板块,但规模远接不住科技接近 90 亿美元的流出:其他行业加起来也没完全承接这部分撤离的资金。换句话说,还有相当一部分钱可能回到现金、去债券,或者转向别的资产,整体风险偏好日た什十土的 我要评论and*** @**** 关注 @tes***@**** 科技ETF单月净流出接近90亿美元,美股的资金轮动已经摆到台面上了。 BYBIT 之前我提过一组很典型的变化:美国科技》 金一周内曾猛吸金超过 200 亿美元,但很快风向就反了,转成约150亿美元净流出。高盛 Prime look 的跟踪数据也印证了这一点——对冲基金对言息科技板块的卖出,一度冲到2016 年以来最极希的水平。 把时间拉到最近一个月,科技板块ETF 的净流出接近 90 亿美元,明显甩开其他行业。相对的,金融板块拿到约 20亿美元净流入:医疗、公用事业、工业、必需消费这些板块也都有小幅资金回补。 这基本说明,过去几年最拥挤、估值最高、涨幅最大的“科技+AI”主线、正在被更系统性地降仓。撤出来的资金,正往金融、医疗、公用事业、工业等板块挪——这些方向共同特点是估值更便宜、现金流更稳、前期涨幅也没那么夸张。 但也要注意一个细节:金融虽然是净流入最多的板块,但规模远接不住科技接近 90 亿美元的流出:其他行业加起来也没完全承接这部分撤离的资金。换句话说,还有相当一部分钱可能回到现金、去债券,或者转向别的资产,整体风险偏好日た什十土的 我要评论and*** @**** 关注 科技ETF单月净流出接近90亿美元,美股的资金轮动已经摆到台面上了。 BYBIT 之前我提过一组很典型的变化:美国科技》 金一周内曾猛吸金超过 200 亿美元,但很快风向就反了,转成约150亿美元净流出。高盛 Prime look 的跟踪数据也印证了这一点——对冲基金对言息科技板块的卖出,一度冲到2016 年以来最极希的水平。 把时间拉到最近一个月,科技板块ETF 的净流出接近 90 亿美元,明显甩开其他行业。相对的,金融板块拿到约 20亿美元净流入:医疗、公用事业、工业、必需消费这些板块也都有小幅资金回补。 这基本说明,过去几年最拥挤、估值最高、涨幅最大的“科技+AI”主线、正在被更系统性地降仓。撤出来的资金,正往金融、医疗、公用事业、工业等板块挪——这些方向共同特点是估值更便宜、现金流更稳、前期涨幅也没那么夸张。 但也要注意一个细节:金融虽然是净流入最多的板块,但规模远接不住科技接近 90 亿美元的流出:其他行业加起来也没完全承接这部分撤 @tes***@**** 离的资金。换句话说,还有相当一部分钱可能回到现金、去债券,或者转向别的资产,整体风险偏好日た什十土的 我要评论and*** @7-16 科技ETF单月净流出接近90亿美元,美股的资金轮动已经摆到台面上了。 BYBIT 之前我提过一组很典型的变化:美国科技》 金一周内曾猛吸金超过 200 亿美元,但很快风向就反了,转成约150亿美元净流出。高盛 Prime look 的跟踪数据也印证了这一点——对冲基金对言息科技板块的卖出,一度冲到2016 年以来最极希的水平。 把时间拉到最近一个月,科技板块ETF 的净流出接近 90 亿美元,明显甩开其他行业。相对的,金融板块拿到约 20亿美元净流入:医疗、公用事业、工业、必需消费这些板块也都有小幅资金回补。 这基本说明,过去几年最拥挤、估值最高、涨幅最大的“科技+AI”主线、正在被更系统性地降仓。撤出来的资金,正往金融、医疗、公用事业、工业等板块挪——这些方向共同特点是估值更便宜、现金流更稳、前期涨幅也没那么夸张。 但也要注意一个细节:金融虽然是净流入最多的板块,但规模远接不住科技接近 90 亿美元的流出:其他行业加起来也没完全承接这部分撤离的资金。换句话说,还有相当一部分钱可能回到现金、去债券,或者转向别的资产,整体风险偏好日た什十土的 我要评论 @tes***@****
好家伙,引用保存草稿
Let’s talk $PUMP buybacks. Buybacks, in my head, are basically bodybuilding for tokens. If you check the mirror every morning, you’ll swear nothing’s happening and start questioning your life choices. But give it time, keep showing up, and suddenly your t-shirt fits different. Same deal here: you don’t “feel” it overnight, but the math keeps doing reps in the background. Think of the coins like actual physical inventory. In a bear market, it’s Costco on a Saturday: way more stuff on the shelves than people buying. No coin is magically immune. What matters is they’ve permanently removed 15.15% of supply. Gone. Deleted. Not “locked,” not “we promise we won’t sell.” More like “thrown into a volcano.” Those coins can’t come back and get dumped on you later. And here’s the sneaky part: every day the max supply keeps shrinking. So if price keeps hanging around this market cap while revenues keep coming in, the available supply at these levels gets thinner and thinner. Eventually you hit that awkward moment where there just aren’t many willing sellers left at these prices. Now, yes—short-term flows still run the intraday circus, and those moves can dwarf revenue on any given day. So don’t stare at the 5-minute chart like it owes you rent. Also worth noting: most of these revenues happened in a bear market. Not exactly the “everyone’s a genius” phase. In a real bull market, those numbers can easily go 2–3x. Either way, time + revenue do their thing. Just not always in the way your brain wants it to, because your brain is addicted to instant results like it’s doomscrolling. From where I’m sitting, sell momentum looks like it’s run out of caffeine. And markets are a pendulum—when they stop swinging one way, they tend to eventually swing back. Whether you love the business model or hate it, the numbers are real and verifiable on-chain. So the question is: do you want to be right, or do you want to make money? If we’re walking into a crypto bull market, this is one of the cleaner bets out there because it benefits from attention *and* the Solana economy—double tailwind. My view: it’s set up for a few to several multiples, but yeah, time will be the judge and jury. $400k per day over another 3–6 months at this market cap? I genuinely don’t know if the willing supply exists at this price level. Feels like demand > supply to me. And I can’t think of many large, liquid crypto assets with this kind of revenue-to-MC buyback dynamic, which is why it’s so attractive. It could—and probably should—trade a lot higher. But you had to sit through the price capitulation *and* the “I’m tired of waiting” capitulation for the setup to even work. As for my plan: I’m adding another 100m this week, which puts me at 500m PUMP. Then I may tactically add another 500m at obvious HL points or levels I personally care about. When I have conviction, I size like this. When I don’t, I just set a hard entry and target and go touch grass.
















